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SynMax Intelligence

Vulcan Insights: Gas Market Update using Vulcan Indicators








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Gas Market Update Using Vulcan Indicators


This week's gas number is expected to be on the lower end of estimates (Bloomberg Avg. 69) due to several factors:


Counts of coal plants with high inventory growing along with coal inventories even though EIA notes an increase in coal generation.




These factors suggest a higher demand for natural gas from power generation vs. EIA preliminary numbers indicate.


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Delayed and Cancelled Power Plans

Last week we introduced the Under Construction product.  We are still obtaining much information from our analysis:


2.7 GW of planned generation in 2024 is unlikely to come online due to lack of any under construction signs.


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Over 19 GW of planned generation in 2025 may also be delayed, with 6 GW originally expected to be online by mid-year 2025.


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Vulcan clients can access a list to compare their generation stack against and make adjustments accordingly. We will continue to monitor construction progress at over 100+ identified locations using weekly satellite imagery.


Vulcan Genstack Update


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