Our recent review of proposed power plant project data indicates ongoing inconsistencies in EIA status coding. Notably, there are instances where construction is evident despite a non-construction status (false negatives) and vice versa (false positives).
We have identified a total of 3.4 GW of false negative and 5.7 GW of false positive data in our database. Additionally, 78 plants totaling 25 GW scheduled to come online by 2025 currently show no construction activity and are likely to be delayed beyond this timeframe.
Clients can access the latest weekly update on Under-Construction projects by downloading the Excel file from their account login.
Below are some of our findings from the latest update:
False Negative – Under construction with no EIA update
1) MRG Goody Solar Project Hybrid
EIA status (P) Planned for installation, but regulatory approvals not initiated, Planned operation 5/2025, Capacity 171.7 MW
Source: https://www.power-technology.com/data-insights/power-plant-profile-mrg-goody-solar-project-us/?cf-view (Little information available online, but the project is expected to be operational in May 2025)
7/15/2025
2) Washington County Solar
EIA status (T) Regulatory approvals received. Not under construction, Planned operation 9/2024, Capacity 150 MW
Source: https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/news-insights/latest-news-headlines/georgia-power-delays-970-mw-of-solar-projects-to-late-2024-70291473 (May 11, 2022, several projects pushed back with a new commercial operation date of Nov 30, 2024)
7/15/2024
3) West Memphis Solar
EIA status (P) Planned for installation, but regulatory approvals not initiated, Planned operation 12/2024, Capacity 180 MW
Source: https://web.archive.org/web/20240411020655/https://www.theeveningtimes.com/2024/04/10/west-memphis-going-solar/ (April 10, 2024 Facility began operation in January 2024 and is expected to provide energy for the city of West Memphis in early 2025)
7/12/2024
False Positive – EIA lists as under construction but no construction visible
1) Chilocco Wind Farm
EIA Status (U) Under construction, less than or equal to 50 percent complete, Planned operation 12/2026, Capacity 169.2 MW
Sources: https://nawindpower.com/pne-wind-usa-starts-building-oklahoma-wind-project (December 20, 2013 Construction said to have begun)
https://www.windpowerengineering.com/tribal-council-approves-lease-oklahoma-wind-farm/ (October 21, 2016 Cherokee Nation approved leasing of land)
https://www.pne-ag.com/en/references/ (No mention of Oklahoma wind projects on PNE website)
7/11/2024
2) Lovelock Solar
EIA status (U) Under construction, less than or equal to 50 percent complete, Planned operation 12/2025, Capacity 190 MW
Source: https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/news-insights/trending/-Dcwt7xctOxwZ842AKVqaQ2 (January 10, 2019 Nevada approves permit for construction)
https://puc.nv.gov/Utilities/Electric/Generation/ (Listed as under construction as of July 1, 2023 according to the state of Nevada Public Utilities Commission)
7/10/2024
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