Through preliminary research and a comparison of recent satellite imagery with historical photos, we've determined that most proposed terminals haven't begun substantial construction. Until we observe significant construction activity on-site, the earliest these terminals could be operational is four years from the initial signs of construction.
This timeframe aligns with industry trends. As noted in a report by Global Energy Monitor Link to report, constructing an LNG export terminal in the US typically takes several years. The specific timeline can vary depending on the project's unique characteristics.
Maybe some new land clearing/ construction top right of image. The project never went to FID but could be sold to someone else who would take it to FID.
Source: https://venturegloballng.com/press/venture-global-announces-final-investment-decision-and-financial-close-for-calcasieu-pass-lng/ (Venture Global announces FID)
https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/news-insights/latest-news-headlines/construction-of-calcasieu-pass-lng-progresses-on-aggressive-schedule-59222754 (June 26, 2020 – Project on schedule)
6/14/2024
Source: https://www.enerdata.net/publications/daily-energy-news/jgc-wins-epc-order-expand-12-mtyear-cameron-lng-plant-us.html (April 11, 2022 Group aims to start expansion construction April 2023 and to complete the project in the third quarter of 2027 – unlikely to meet this deadline given image below)
6/14/2024
Source: https://commonwealthlng.com/project/ (FID targeted for 2025)
6/16/2024
Source: https://lngprime.com/americas/chenieres-corpus-christi-lng-expansion-project-almost-53-percent-complete/107055/ (March 11, 2024 project almost 53% complete – perhaps need a better GPS coordinate)
6/9/2024
Source: https://lngprime.com/americas/tellurian-updates-on-driftwood-lng-construction-work/112754/ (May 21, 2024 FID expected in 2024)
6/13/2024
Source: https://www.jaxdailyrecord.com/news/2023/may/30/eagle-lngs-jacksonville-operation-key-to-caribbean-market-expansion/ (May 30, 2023 Company seeks Federal Regulatory Approval to complete construction)
5/7/2024 – All images in June cloudy, May images dark – will continue to monitor
Source: https://lngprime.com/americas/freeport-lng-gets-more-time-to-build-fourth-train/63867/ (October 17, 2022 extension granted, train 4 expected August 1, 2028)
6/6/2024
Source: https://www.spglobal.com/commodityinsights/en/market-insights/latest-news/natural-gas/120623-exxonmobil-pushes-back-timeline-for-startup-of-golden-pass-lng (December 6, 2023 Expected start in 2025)
6/14/2024
At a client's request, we obtained a high-resolution image of the Golden Pass LNG terminal. Vulcan clients can request and receive similar high-resolution imagery for their own analysis. Notably, the higher resolution image reveals clear evidence of construction progress on additional trains at the terminal.
Notably, the higher resolution image reveals clear evidence of construction progress on additional trains at the terminal.
Source: https://lngprime.com/americas/kinder-morgan-secures-more-time-for-gulf-lng-export-project/113079/ (May 24, 2024 Extension to finish construction by July 16 2029)
6/14/2024
(Lake Charles for now is a brownfield regas project, with no FID on the export project)
Source: https://lngprime.com/lng-terminals/energy-transfer-eyes-lake-charles-lng-fid-in-q2-2024/96483/ (Energy Transfer nearing FID)
6/14/2024
Our research shows this project is cancelled.
Source: https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/glenfarne-set-decide-build-texas-lng-export-plant-2023-2023-04-24/ (April 24, 2023 Glenfarne to make FID in 2023, unable to confirm cancellation)
6/14/2024
Only partial image but shows some construction
Source: https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/venture-global-lng-go-ahead-with-phase-2-plaquemines-la-export-plant-2023-03-13/ (March 13, 2024 phase 2 FID secured)
https://www.1012industryreport.com/oil-gas/lng/venture-global-plaquemines-lng-to-start-production-in-mid-2024/ (April 30, 2024 Production to start in mid-2024)
6/13/2024
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